A new poll suggests that the SNP could take the West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine (WAK) constituency from the Liberal Democrats in the upcoming General Election.
The poll of parliamentary seats across Britain, by Lord Ashcroft, indicates that the SNP could win 56 of Scotland’s 59 parliamentary seats.
The most significant aspect of the findings is it confirms that the SNP’s surge in support is reflected every bit as much in areas of Scotland which voted No as a well as Yes...SNP’s general election campaign director Angus Robertson MP
This would virtually wipe out the Labour party and the Liberal Democrats north of the border.
The projected success of the SNP would almost cancel out Labour gains in other parts of Great Britain, producing a dead heat between the two main parties on May 7, according to Ashcroft’s projections.
The former Tory treasurer, who now insists he is an impartial pollster, suggested that the Tories and Labour would be tied on 272 seats each. Labour won 258 seats in 2010 while the Tories won 306 seats.
In West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine when asked: ‘If there was a general election for the Westminster parliament tomorrow, which party would you vote for?’ of 1001 people polled 2% would vote Green, 3% would go for UKIP (despite there being no candidate), 4% refused to answer, 7% said they would refuse to vote, 9% would vote Labour, 10% would vote Lib Dem, 19% would vote Conservative and 32% would vote SNP.
When all respondents expressing an intention to vote were asked: ‘Thinking specifically about your own parliamentary constituency at the next General Election and the candidates who are likely to stand for election to Westminster there, which party’s candidate do you think you will vote for in your own constituency?’ 2% said Green, 3% said UKIP (again, no candidate) 10% said Labour, 19% said Lib Dem, 25% said Conservative and a whopping 40% chose SNP.
An SNP victory is also predicted in Edinburgh South West, where the former Labour chancellor Alistair Darling, who led the Better Together campaign against independence, is retiring from Westminster.
Charles Kennedy is predicted to lose to the SNP in Ross, Skye and Lochaber, where he has been the MP since 1983 and is defending a majority of 13,000.
The only Conservative seat in Scotland - Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale - which is held by the Scotland Office minister David Mundell, is said to be too close to call with the SNP and the Tories both on 34%.
The other Labour seats apparently at risk of falling to the SNP are Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock and Dumfries and Galloway.
The SNP’s general election campaign director Angus Robertson MP welcomed the poll predictions saying: “The most significant aspect of the findings is it confirms that the SNP’s surge in support is reflected every bit as much in areas of Scotland which voted No as a well as Yes...”